Facts Or Rumors: NBA Trade Analysis Leading into 2014 Trade Deadline

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With the NBA trade deadline fast approaching, rumors are swirling all over the league as who will go and who will stay with their teams.

The Bleacherreport.com made a short list regarding this rumors on which trade would happen and which will not.


This year’s trade action got started
early with big deals that included Rudy Gay going from the Toronto Raptors to
the Sacramento Kings, but the fun isn’t over yet. With just a matter of days
left before the February 20 trade deadline, we’ll be hearing plenty of trade
chatter and seeing a flurry of deals very soon.
Will any star players like Carmelo
Anthony or Greg Monroe be trading addresses? Which teams will be buyers and
sellers? Let’s play a little buy or sell with the latest rumors as the trade
deadline approaches. 
Detroit Pistons Aren’t Giving Up Greg Monroe Unless It’s a
Blockbuster Deal
The Rumor: According to David Aldridge of NBA.com,
the Pistons “aren’t going to move Greg Monroe unless it’s a blockbuster
deal.”
The
Verdict: 
Buy
We can argue semantics and say that
any trade involving Monroe would technically be considered a blockbuster, but
Aldridge’s larger point stands.
Given the fact that Pistons general
manager Joe Dumars is on an expiring contract and possibly in hot water, the
chances he trades one of his best players in Monroe for just draft picks and an
expiring deal are very slim. Talent needs to come back in return, as the
Pistons are right on the brink of being a playoff team.
Given Monroe’s
status as a restricted free agent who will almost certainly command a max deal
this offseason, Detroit may look to swap him for a better fit on the wing and
slide Josh Smith to the vacated power forward spot.

Finding an equivalent talent on the
trade market may be tough, however, as it’s rare for a team that’s buying to
not use draft picks or expiring deals as the main currency. Considering that
Detroit has both of those things, Aldridge is spot-on in his assessment that
the Pistons won’t move Monroe unless there are star players going back both
ways. 

No Chance the New
York Knicks Will Deal Carmelo Anthony

The Rumor: According to a source of Marc J. Spears of Yahoo! Sports,
there’s “no chance” Anthony will be dealt before the trade deadline.
The
Verdict: 
Buy
While there’s certainly a logical
argument to be made for trading Anthony before the deadline, the Knicks haven’t
been dealing in logic for years now. Like it or not, the Knicks are fully
invested in Anthony now and going forward, and there’s no turning back.
That may put New York in a difficult
position considering the fact Anthony can opt out of his contract this season,
but there are limited options available.
The Knicks lack the future draft
picks to rebuild if Anthony is traded, and it’s highly doubtful that there’s a
trade out there where New York can actually upgrade in talent. Anthony has said
in the past that he’d like to experience free agency, and that should be enough
to turn off most of his suitors at this point.
Add in Knicks owner James Dolan’s
love for Anthony, and this sure seems like a non-starter. It would be truly a
shock if Anthony didn’t remain with the Knicks for the rest of the
season. 

Kyle Lowry Will
Probably Remain with the Toronto Raptors Through the Deadline


The Rumor: According to David Aldridge at NBA.com, the Raptors “are
less likely than more likely to trade Kyle Lowry by the deadline.”
The
Verdict: 
Buy
Lowry’s future
has been debated quite
a bit as of late, but it seems like there’s far too much for Toronto to lose by
dealing him now.

Since trading Gay, the Raptors have
been playing great basketball. You could certainly argue that Toronto is the
clear-cut third-best team in the Eastern Conference, and you never know what
will happen in terms of injuries down the stretch and in the playoffs.
Lowry is on an expiring deal, but
Raptors GM Masai Ujiri has a history of re-signing players and then dealing
them down the road. For now, keeping the positive momentum and contending in
this year’s playoffs should probably take priority, unless a team is willing to
drastically overpay. With so few teams needing a starting point guard now and
in the future, that seems unlikely. 
Basically, the Raptors can afford to
set a very high asking price for Lowry, and I’m buying that there aren’t many
teams who will be willing to pay it. 

Washington Wizards
Can’t Pay Trevor Ariza


The Rumor: According to David Aldridge of NBA.com, the Washington Wizards “can’t
pay [Trevor] Ariza, who also pines to return to the West coast.”
The
Verdict: 
Sell
In Aldridge’s
piece, Wizards point guard John Wall explained why Ariza has been so
important to the team:
“He’s a long, athletic guy, and
he reads it very well, and if he misses it, he knows how to recover. It’s
something he’s good at. He’s great defensively. But he’ll also knock down
corner threes and does a lot of things for our team, and he’s probably the
catalyst for our defense being as good as it is”.
It would seem that Ariza would be expendable with Otto
Porter and Martell Webster behind him, but I’d be shocked if the Wizards didn’t
find a way to keep him around going forward.
Ariza is on an expiring deal and will
be an unrestricted free agent this offseason, but his impact in Washington has
been undeniable. Ariza has proved to be a great fit on the wing next to Wall
and Bradley Beal, which isn’t something to be taken for granted.
Although Ariza will have other
suitors, Washington will have the cap room (and Bird rights) to give him a
strong offer to stick around. There’s no doubt that Washington will have some
financial problems to solve with Marcin Gortat also a free agent, but there’s
no reason why Ariza has to be the one to go.

Atlanta Hawks Are
Interested in Jeff Green

The Rumor: According to Mitch Lawrence of the New York Daily News, the Atlanta Hawks are “looking
to get Jeff Green, who is being shopped hard by Danny Ainge and the [Boston]
Celtics.”
The
Verdict:
 Sell
While it’s very believable that Green
is available as a trade target given his long-term contract and Boston’s
rebuilding status, the Hawks don’t make much sense as a destination.
DeMarre Carroll may not be a big name,
but he’s played incredibly well this season and seems to fit in perfectly on
both ends of the floor. He’s a much more cost-effective option than Green, and
maintaining cap flexibility is likely a priority for Hawks GM Danny Ferry.
Green is a
good player, but the Hawks have had good players on big contracts in the past
and have seen the results. It just doesn’t seem like Green is a good enough
target to push the chips in for, especially since Atlanta likely won’t be
seriously competing this year with 
Al Horford out for the season.
Unless Green were to come at a highly
discounted price, it’s hard to see why Atlanta would be interested. 
Trade Dealine
With the NBA Playoffs coming and right now on the half-way of the season, expect each playoff-bound team to reload some key players on their team which can help them come playoffs time.
Teams who are fighting for a playoff spot will also do the same to improve their chances. 

Ed Umbao

Founder of PhilNews.xyz | co-Founder of PhilNews.ph

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